Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+11.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.96/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.79
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
04.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
04.04.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
01.10.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Cherno More Varna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 2.00 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Cherno More Varna?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 38%, draw 27%, Cherno More Varna 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
18 Jul 2025
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