HB Koge 2-0 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.72
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.92
X/2
7%
5.98
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
13%
27.0
2/2
19%
3.78
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.37/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.32
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
16.7 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
404 Passes 449
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2025 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
21.04.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
18.10.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 4-1 HT 3-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
02.08.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
20.08.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
2-0
AWAY Hobro IK
2.68 xG 1.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
314 Passes 504
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge got the better of Hobro IK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; HB Koge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, HB Koge had 40% of the ball to Hobro IK's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.68 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HB Koge and 1.83 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hobro IK?

HB Koge 2-0 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a HB Koge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 39%, draw 29%, Hobro IK 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HB Koge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HB Koge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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