Hobro IK 2-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 22 May 2025

Hobro IK
2-1 HT 1-0
HB Koge
📅22/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Hobro IK vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 29% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.57
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
9%
7.82
X/X
12%
5.76
2/1
13%
21.45
2/2
12%
5.39
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hobro IK v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.56
-7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.3 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hobro IK vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY HB Koge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
448 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
18.10.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 4-1 HT 3-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
02.08.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
20.08.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
26.05.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-2 HT 0-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

Hobro IK 2-1 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
2-1
AWAY HB Koge
0.89 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK squeezed past HB Koge 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hobro IK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 51% of the ball to HB Koge's 49%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.89 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured HB Koge.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hobro IK and 1.33 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs HB Koge?

Hobro IK 2-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 41%, draw 29%, HB Koge 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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