Hillerod 3-1 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.37
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.46
X/2
11%
8.4
X/X
9%
5.92
2/1
8%
21.05
2/2
7%
6.13
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.45
Value flag · 2/X at 15.45 — our 10% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
2.14/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.60
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.7 Crosses 19.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2025 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
04.10.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-2 HT 2-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
14.09.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-3 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
23.02.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 4-4 HT 1-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
19.08.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
08.10.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
3-1
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.34 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
467 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod got the better of Vendsyssel FF 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hillerod had 52% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hillerod had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hillerod and 1.00 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF?

Hillerod 3-1 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 51%, draw 25%, Vendsyssel FF 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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