Nashville SC vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
ABD
Nashville SC 1-0 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC edged past Atlanta United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.61 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atlanta United.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nashville SC and 1.17 for Atlanta United.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?
Nashville SC 1-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 59%, draw 21%, Atlanta United 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.