Nashville SC 0-1 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.26
X/2
7%
10.25
X/X
10%
6.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.5
2/2
8%
7.51
2/X
5%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.3pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.81/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.71
+6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.9 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
15.09.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 0-2 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
18.05.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
27.08.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
29.04.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
22.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
0-1
AWAY Atlanta United
1.78 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
466 Passes 326
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United edged past Nashville SC 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nashville SC at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nashville SC had 59% of the ball to Atlanta United's 41%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.78 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nashville SC.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nashville SC and 1.50 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?

Nashville SC 0-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 59%, draw 20%, Atlanta United 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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