Adelaide City 2-2 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.2pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.52/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.73
+28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Croydon Kings
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
07.03.2026 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-4 HT 0-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
06.09.2025 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
30.08.2025 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
19.07.2025 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
25.04.2025 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
27.07.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City and Croydon Kings couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Adelaide City carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adelaide City and 0.67 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide City 2-2 Croydon Kings in the Australia - NPL South on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 60%, draw 20%, Croydon Kings 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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