KTP Kotka 0-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.21/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
5W-0D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.04.2026 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
12.08.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-1 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
29.06.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
28.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-5 HT 1-4 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
02.03.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 0-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINYK
03.09.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
0-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
21 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry nicked a narrow win over KTP Kotka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KTP Kotka at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 21-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.00 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry?

KTP Kotka 0-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 50%, draw 26%, PK-35 ry 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KTP Kotka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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