Seongnam 1-0 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.87/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.17
-30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
24.1 Crosses 19.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
382 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2026 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
23.11.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
12.07.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
24.05.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
01.09.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-1 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
29.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
1-0
AWAY Busan I Park
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
353 Passes 350
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam squeezed past Busan I Park 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Seongnam found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seongnam and 1.17 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Busan I Park?

Seongnam 1-0 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 37%, draw 25%, Busan I Park 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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