Busan I Park 1-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.1
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.35/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.70
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +75%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Seongnam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
296 Passes 393
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
12.07.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
24.05.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
01.09.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-1 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
29.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
19.05.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-1
AWAY Seongnam
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
317 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Seongnam shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Busan I Park had 50% of the ball to Seongnam's 50%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Seongnam?

Busan I Park 1-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 34%, draw 31%, Seongnam 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Seongnam), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seongnam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
2 Mar 2026
08:00 Asan Mugunghwa vs Paju Citizen Analysis →