Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.06/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.13
-2% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tobol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.06.2026 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
02.08.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.05.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
11.08.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
31.03.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
27.09.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar and Tobol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.33 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Tobol?

Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 32%, draw 31%, Tobol 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tobol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
18 Jul 2026
15:00 Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu Analysis →
16:00 Zhenys vs Ulytau Analysis →
18:00 Atyrau vs Kairat Analysis →
18:00 Kaisar vs Kaspyi Analysis →