Universitatea Craiova 4-0 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
1.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.36
+10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
444 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.8 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UTA Arad
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.21 xG 1.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
419 Passes 216
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
12.07.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-3 HT 0-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
25.11.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-2 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
20.07.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-2 HT 1-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
20.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 2-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
01.11.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
4-0
AWAY UTA Arad
0.93 xG 0.93
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
522 Passes 238
17 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova swept aside UTA Arad 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.67 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad?

Universitatea Craiova 4-0 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 50%, draw 27%, UTA Arad 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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