Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.57/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.08
-29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
23.0 Crosses 21.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Louisville City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 Louisville City Louisville City 0-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
14.09.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-2 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
11.05.2025 Louisville City Louisville City 0-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
20.06.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
23.03.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 3-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
13.07.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3-1
AWAY Louisville City
1.39 xG 1.36
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
201 Passes 257
15 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds beat Louisville City 3-1 in the USL Championship on 18 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.39 to 1.36.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%, draw 25%, Louisville City 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Under 2.5
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