Jahn Regensburg 1-0 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 53%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.22/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.99
-40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.0
19.2 Crosses 35.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bochum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.83 xG 1.53
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
172 Passes 368
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2021 Bochum Bochum 5-1 HT 2-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
10.01.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
22.12.2019 Bochum Bochum 2-3 HT 1-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
28.07.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
05.04.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
29.10.2018 Bochum Bochum 3-3 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1-0
AWAY Bochum
1.01 xG 1.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
18 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
158 Passes 365
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg nicked a narrow win over Bochum 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 35% of the ball to Bochum's 65%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.01 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 2.33 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Bochum?

Jahn Regensburg 1-0 Bochum in the Germany - DFB Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 27%, draw 22%, Bochum 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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