Hansa Rostock 1-5 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.11
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
3.06
6+ Goals
15%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.72/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.52/2.40
+69% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -50%
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 81%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.2
19.3 Crosses 27.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 2.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 Passes 475
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 4-0 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
05.11.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
14.08.2017 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
15.03.2008 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
25.09.2007 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 1-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL1
30.04.2005 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-5
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.42 xG 2.20
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
162 Passes 420
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin ran out comfortable winners over Hansa Rostock 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 33% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 67%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.42 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.33 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Hertha Berlin?

Hansa Rostock 1-5 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - DFB Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 28%, draw 26%, Hertha Berlin 46%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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