Saarbrücken 1-1 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 36%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.93/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.26
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.4 Crosses 16.3
5.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
06.04.2001 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
06.11.2000 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-2 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1-1
AWAY Nürnberg
0.56 xG 0.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 528
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken and Nürnberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 45% of the ball to Nürnberg's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.56 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.00 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Nürnberg?

Saarbrücken 1-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 38%, draw 25%, Nürnberg 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFK More Germany - DFB Cup
18 Aug 2024
14:00 Viktoria Berlin vs Augsburg Analysis →
16:30 Sandhausen vs Köln Analysis →
16:30 Jahn Regensburg vs Bochum Analysis →
16:30 Hansa Rostock vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →
16:30 Borussia Hildesheim vs Elversberg Analysis →
16:30 Teutonia Hamburg vs Darmstadt 98 Analysis →