Sandhausen 2-3 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 57%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.63/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.68
+101% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
27.8 Crosses 33.5
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Köln
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.55 xG 2.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
247 Passes 365
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2019 Köln Köln 3-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
21.09.2018 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL2
16.02.2014 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
17.08.2013 Köln Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
14.12.2012 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
10.08.2012 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
2-3
AWAY Köln
2.64 xG 2.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 12
439 Passes 366
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 52
18 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln edged past Sandhausen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Sandhausen had 52% of the ball to Köln's 48%, shots finished 19-23, expected goals 2.64 to 2.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sandhausen.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sandhausen and 1.50 for Köln.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Köln?

Sandhausen 2-3 Köln in the Germany - DFB Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 21%, draw 27%, Köln 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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