Viktoria Berlin 1-4 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
58%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.02
2-3 Goals
36%
2.2
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
4.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
58%
Away Win
75%
-16.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 80%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.44/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.60
-100% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -37%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
8.5 Crosses 25.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
1-4
AWAY Augsburg
0.88 xG 1.91
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
112 Passes 526
60% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg ran out comfortable winners over Viktoria Berlin 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 24% of the ball to Augsburg's 76%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.88 to 1.91.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Augsburg?

Viktoria Berlin 1-4 Augsburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 22%, draw 20%, Augsburg 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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