Tuggeranong United 4-1 Canberra Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
39%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.61
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
22%
+17.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra Olympic EU Bookmakers 25%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
6.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/3.10
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Canberra Olympic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.06.2024 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
04.05.2024 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
12.08.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
17.06.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 2-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
30.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-3 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
10.08.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-1 HT 1-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United ran out comfortable winners over Canberra Olympic 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 20% / 39% — and on the day Tuggeranong United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tuggeranong United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tuggeranong United and 1.17 for Canberra Olympic.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic?

Tuggeranong United 4-1 Canberra Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuggeranong United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 42%, draw 20%, Canberra Olympic 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tuggeranong United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tuggeranong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
18 Aug 2024
06:00 Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior Analysis →
07:30 Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles Analysis →
07:30 Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues Analysis →
07:30 Cooks Hill United vs Weston Bears Analysis →
07:30 Adamstown Rosebuds vs Lambton Jaffas Analysis →
07:30 New Lambton FC vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →