Xelaju MC 5-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.97/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.49
+10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-2 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
09.02.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
16.09.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
17.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
08.10.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC swept aside Guastatoya 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Xelaju MC and 1.00 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Guastatoya?

Xelaju MC 5-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 59%, draw 24%, Guastatoya 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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