Monterrey vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterrey v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 3-2 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey nicked a narrow win over Mazatlan 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%) came home.
Under the surface, Monterrey had 58% of the ball to Mazatlan's 42%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.81 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterrey and 0.50 for Mazatlan.
Monterrey vs Mazatlan Result & Final Score
Monterrey 3 - 2 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterrey vs Mazatlan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 73%, draw 17%, Mazatlan 11%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.