Augsburg II 4-3 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.61
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.2pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.48/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.02
+15% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Buchbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.04.2024 Augsburg II Augsburg II 3-0 HT 3-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
08.10.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 2-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-4 HT 0-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-3 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
03.05.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 Augsburg II Augsburg II 0-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg II nicked a narrow win over Buchbach 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Augsburg II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Augsburg II and 1.00 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Buchbach?

Augsburg II 4-3 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 50%, draw 25%, Buchbach 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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