Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-3 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.94/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.30
-37% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 4-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 3-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
12.08.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
20.11.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-5 HT 0-4 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
30.07.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Aschaffenburg and Greuther Fürth II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 1.83 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Greuther Fürth II?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-3 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 29%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth II 48%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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