Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.83
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.21/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.07
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
217 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.5 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.67 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 252
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
28.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
17.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
03.11.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
20.08.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-2
AWAY Rijeka
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rijeka shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 41% of the ball to Rijeka's 59%, shots finished 8-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 2.17 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, draw 28%, Rijeka 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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