AFC Totton 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 33% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
2.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.02
+79% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
2-1
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton nicked a narrow win over Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Totton had 44% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

AFC Totton 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 45%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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