Sunderland 2-0 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.4
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.69
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 42% vs market 34.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
19%
5.19
X/2
7%
6.09
X/X
15%
3.77
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
7%
4.65
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+6.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
0.90/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.57
-17% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.0 Crosses 15.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 0.68
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
222 Passes 500
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2018 Sunderland Sunderland 3-0 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNCL
09.12.2017 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
14.04.2012 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
04.12.2011 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
14.05.2011 Sunderland Sunderland 1-3 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
27.11.2010 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-2 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
2-0
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.65 xG 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
248 Passes 393
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 31
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland got the better of Wolverhampton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland had 41% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 59%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.65 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sunderland and 1.33 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Wolverhampton?

Sunderland 2-0 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 46%, draw 29%, Wolverhampton 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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