Crystal Palace 3-3 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.91
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
10%
12.05
X/1
16%
5.12
X/2
9%
7.34
X/X
11%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.85
2/2
11%
5.12
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.63/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.24
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
18.4 Crosses 21.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bournemouth
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.86 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
26.12.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
02.04.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
06.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-2 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
13.05.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
31.12.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
3-3
AWAY Bournemouth
4.44 xG 2.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
41 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace and Bournemouth shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 52% of the ball to Bournemouth's 48%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 4.44 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Crystal Palace and 0.50 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth?

Crystal Palace 3-3 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 47%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crystal Palace) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
18 Oct 2025
14:30 Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Analysis →
17:00 Manchester City vs Everton Analysis →
17:00 Sunderland vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
17:00 Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United Analysis →
17:00 Burnley vs Leeds United Analysis →
19:30 Fulham vs Arsenal Analysis →