Manchester City 2-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.74
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.4
X/1 EV+ ✓
38%
3.88
X/2
6%
13.7
X/X
8%
6.33
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
8%
11.55
2/X
7%
20.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.88 — our 38% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.99/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.60
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
479 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
16.5 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Everton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.82 xG 0.79
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
633 Passes 242
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
26.12.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
10.02.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
27.12.2023 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
14.05.2023 Everton Everton 0-3 HT 0-2 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
31.12.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
2-0
AWAY Everton
2.38 xG 1.08
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
685 Passes 237
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
46 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City saw off Everton 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Manchester City had 71% of the ball to Everton's 29%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.38 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester City and 0.50 for Everton.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Everton?

Manchester City 2-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 62%, draw 20%, Everton 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
18 Oct 2025
14:30 Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Analysis →
17:00 Sunderland vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
17:00 Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United Analysis →
17:00 Burnley vs Leeds United Analysis →
17:00 Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth Analysis →
19:30 Fulham vs Arsenal Analysis →