Naesby 1-5 Bronshoj BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bronshoj BK EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.29
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Bronshoj BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 3-2 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
17.05.2025 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 2-0 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
26.04.2025 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 2-4 Naesby Naesby DAN3
26.10.2024 Naesby Naesby 1-1 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
03.08.2024 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
1-5
AWAY Bronshoj BK
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Bronshoj BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bronshoj BK ran out comfortable winners over Naesby 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Naesby had 56% of the ball to Bronshoj BK's 44%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naesby and 1.60 for Bronshoj BK.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Naesby 1-5 Bronshoj BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Naesby 43%, draw 25%, Bronshoj BK 32%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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