LDU Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.56/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.36
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 74%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.7 Crosses 14.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 0.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
291 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
19.06.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
01.09.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
23.05.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.09.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.04.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
3-0
AWAY Barcelona SC
2.32 xG 0.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 279
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito swept aside Barcelona SC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 56% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 44%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.32 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC?

LDU Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 47%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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