Orense 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.09/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.21
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.2 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.28
37% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
203 Passes 415
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
27.04.2025 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
01.12.2024 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.06.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
26.11.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-2 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
12.06.2023 Orense Orense 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
1-2
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.69 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orense vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Orense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Independiente Del Valle made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orense had 53% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 47%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.69 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Orense.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orense and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Orense vs Independiente Del Valle?

Orense 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orense 34%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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