Mushuc Runa 2-1 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.58/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.62
+21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
25.6 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
164 Passes 244
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 22
36 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
15.03.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 0-2 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
2-1
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.48 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
206 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa nicked a narrow win over Cuniburo FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 46% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 54%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.48 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cuniburo FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.50 for Cuniburo FC.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Cuniburo FC?

Mushuc Runa 2-1 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 52%, draw 27%, Cuniburo FC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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