Marsilya 6-2 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Oct 2025

Marsilya
6-2 HT 1-1
Le Havre
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒22:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Marsilya vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.23
Over
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
4.34
2-3
40%
1.88
4-5
23%
2.84
6+
10%
8.12
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.34 — our 27% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.57
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.35
X/1
24%
3.84
X/2
4%
16.95
X/X
11%
7.29
2/1
9%
21.75
2/2
5%
14.45
2/X
6%
22.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Marsilya v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre The Market 15%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
2.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.90
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.1 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Marsilya vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Le Havre
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.54 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
589 Passes 323
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 1-3 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
05.01.2025 Marsilya Marsilya 5-1 HT 3-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
19.05.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
08.10.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 3-0 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
17.01.2009 Marsilya Marsilya 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
23.08.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1

Marsilya 6-2 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
6-2
AWAY Le Havre
4.19 xG 0.47
74% Ball Possession 26%
18 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
640 Passes 181
94% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Marsilya vs Le Havre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Marsilya overpowered Le Havre 6-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Marsilya had 74% of the ball to Le Havre's 26%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 4.19 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Marsilya and 0.50 for Le Havre.

Marsilya vs Le Havre Result & Final Score

Marsilya 6-2 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Marsilya vs Le Havre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 66%, draw 20%, Le Havre 14%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ BTTS No
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