Nice vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nice v Lyon — Team-Based Signals
Nice vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nice 3-2 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics
Nice nicked a narrow win over Lyon 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Nice had 31% of the ball to Lyon's 69%, shots finished 5-29, expected goals 0.74 to 3.39 — on chances, Lyon could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nice and 1.50 for Lyon.
Nice vs Lyon Result & Final Score
Nice 3-2 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nice vs Lyon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nice 42%, draw 23%, Lyon 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.