Nice 0-2 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Mar 2025

Nice
0-2 HT 0-0
Lyon
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nice vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.85
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.07
X/2
11%
7.23
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1
9%
23.4
2/2
11%
4.94
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · X/1 at 5.07 — our 22% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.63/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.80
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.3 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Nice vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lyon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
371 Passes 458
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Lyon Lyon 4-1 HT 3-1 Nice Nice FR1
16.02.2024 Lyon Lyon 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
27.08.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
03.06.2023 Nice Nice 3-1 HT 3-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
11.11.2022 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
12.02.2022 Lyon Lyon 2-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 0-2 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
0-2
AWAY Lyon
1.44 xG 1.10
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
319 Passes 601
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nice vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon got the better of Nice 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nice at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nice had 37% of the ball to Lyon's 63%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.44 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nice and 1.50 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Nice vs Lyon?

Nice 0-2 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nice 45%, draw 27%, Lyon 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nice), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025
17:00 Brest vs Angers Analysis →
19:15 Reims vs Auxerre Analysis →
19:15 Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
19:15 Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →