Reims 0-2 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Mar 2025

Reims
0-2 HT 0-2
Auxerre
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.52
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.46
X/2
11%
6.12
X/X
16%
4.3
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.22
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -23%
1.23/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.12
-28% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.8 Crosses 22.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Reims vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Auxerre
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 2-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
05.02.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
23.10.2022 Reims Reims 2-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
24.04.2018 Auxerre Auxerre 1-4 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR2
27.11.2017 Reims Reims 2-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
07.07.2017 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre HAZ

Reims 0-2 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
0-2
AWAY Auxerre
1.55 xG 2.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 12
358 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reims vs Auxerre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre beat Reims 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Auxerre made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Reims had 57% of the ball to Auxerre's 43%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.55 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Reims and 1.00 for Auxerre.

What was the final score of Reims vs Auxerre?

Reims 0-2 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Auxerre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Reims 37%, draw 31%, Auxerre 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Reims) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025
17:00 Brest vs Angers Analysis →
19:15 Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
19:15 Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
22:45 Nice vs Lyon Analysis →