Brest 2-0 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Mar 2025

Brest
2-0 HT 1-0
Angers
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Brest vs Angers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
17%
4.09
X/2
10%
9.93
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.7
2/2
13%
8.35
2/X
8%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Angers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.57/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.41
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.2 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Brest vs Angers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Angers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.01.2025 Angers Angers 2-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
06.01.2024 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FRK
29.01.2023 Brest Brest 4-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
21.08.2022 Angers Angers 1-3 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FR1
20.07.2022 Angers Angers 0-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest HAZ
20.03.2022 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 2-0 Angers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
2-0
AWAY Angers
3.57 xG 0.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
359 Passes 354
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brest vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest beat Angers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Brest had 50% of the ball to Angers's 50%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 3.57 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brest and 0.67 for Angers.

What was the final score of Brest vs Angers?

Brest 2-0 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brest 44%, draw 27%, Angers 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025
19:15 Reims vs Auxerre Analysis →
19:15 Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
19:15 Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
22:45 Nice vs Lyon Analysis →