Nantes 0-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.2
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
12%
6.3
X/2
16%
5.47
X/X
8%
4.64
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
20%
3.37
2/X
6%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.28/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.55
-6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.1 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
386 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
16.03.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-3 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
06.10.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.05.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
31.08.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
06.02.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
0-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.77 xG 0.98
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
292 Passes 496
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantes vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg edged past Nantes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nantes had 39% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 61%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.77 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nantes and 1.83 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Nantes vs RC Strasbourg?

Nantes 0-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nantes 35%, draw 22%, RC Strasbourg 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✗ Over 2.5
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