RC Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
20%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.67
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.75
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.59/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.21
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.6 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nantes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
301 Passes 366
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-3 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
06.10.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.05.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
31.08.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
06.02.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.11.2021 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
3-1
AWAY Nantes
1.73 xG 0.76
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 400
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg saw off Nantes 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 51% of the ball to Nantes's 49%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.00 for Nantes.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Nantes?

RC Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 46%, draw 25%, Nantes 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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