Nice 2-1 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Oct 2024

Nice
2-1 HT 1-1
Monaco
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nice vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.61
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
11%
7.69
X/2
10%
4.38
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.56
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.40/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.06
+6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
17.0 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Nice vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monaco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 400
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Nice Nice 2-3 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.09.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
26.02.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-3 HT 0-3 Nice Nice FR1
04.09.2022 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
20.04.2022 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
19.09.2021 Nice Nice 2-2 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1

Nice 2-1 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
2-1
AWAY Monaco
1.63 xG 0.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
246 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nice vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice edged past Monaco 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Monaco at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Nice had 40% of the ball to Monaco's 60%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.63 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nice and 1.17 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Nice vs Monaco?

Nice 2-1 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nice 29%, draw 26%, Monaco 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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