Montpellier 0-3 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Oct 2024

Montpellier
0-3 HT 0-3
Toulouse
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Montpellier vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.57
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
6%
6.96
X/2
13%
4.92
X/X
17%
5.3
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
22%
2.82
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.40/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.01
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +100%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.8 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Montpellier vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Toulouse
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 368
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 1-2 HT 1-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
29.10.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 3-0 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
15.07.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 3-1 HT 1-1 Toulouse Toulouse HAZ
09.04.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-2 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
02.10.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 4-2 HT 3-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
10.11.2019 Montpellier Montpellier 3-0 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

Montpellier 0-3 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
0-3
AWAY Toulouse
0.21 xG 1.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
413 Passes 405
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse ran out comfortable winners over Montpellier 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Montpellier had 52% of the ball to Toulouse's 48%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.21 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Montpellier and 1.33 for Toulouse.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Toulouse?

Montpellier 0-3 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 29%, draw 30%, Toulouse 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ BTTS Yes
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