Le Havre 1-1 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Mar 2025

Le Havre
1-1 HT 1-1
Saint-Etienne
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
13%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.29
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.3
X/2
9%
6.38
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
12%
4.39
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.35/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.51
-18% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.5 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.13 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-2 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
18.03.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 2-2 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
20.08.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-6 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
13.05.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 2-4 HT 2-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
06.12.2008 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
21.12.2004 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FRLK

Le Havre 1-1 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1-1
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.08 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
282 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 37
31 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre and Saint-Etienne shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Le Havre had 47% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 53%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.08 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Le Havre and 1.50 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne?

Le Havre 1-1 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 40%, draw 28%, Saint-Etienne 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Le Havre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ BTTS Yes
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