Puebla vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puebla v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Tijuana
MEK
5-2
HT 2-1
Tijuana
MEK
3-3
HT 1-1
Puebla
MEK
Puebla 4-3 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla nicked a narrow win over Tijuana 4-3. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Puebla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Puebla had 54% of the ball to Tijuana's 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.77 to 2.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tijuana.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puebla had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Puebla and 1.67 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Puebla vs Tijuana?
Puebla 4-3 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puebla vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puebla 40%, draw 29%, Tijuana 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puebla), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.