Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
Tigres UANL 5-3 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL beat Necaxa 5-3. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 56% of the ball to Necaxa's 44%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.58 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.83 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Tigres UANL 5-3 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 60%, draw 21%, Necaxa 18%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.