Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
Tigres UANL 2-2 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL and Necaxa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 53% of the ball to Necaxa's 47%, shots finished 21-19, expected goals 1.88 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.50 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Tigres UANL 2-2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 45%, draw 27%, Necaxa 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.