İskoçya 4-2 Danimarka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.45
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
9%
7.46
X/2
14%
4.96
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.87
2/X
10%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka EU Bookmakers 49%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.34/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.62
+106% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.5 Crosses 10.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskoçya
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Danimarka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 1.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
259 Passes 541
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 Danimarka Danimarka 0-0 HT 0-0 İskoçya İskoçya DKE
15.11.2021 İskoçya İskoçya 2-0 HT 1-0 Danimarka Danimarka DKE
01.09.2021 Danimarka Danimarka 2-0 HT 2-0 İskoçya İskoçya DKE
29.03.2016 İskoçya İskoçya 1-0 HT 1-0 Danimarka Danimarka HAZ
10.08.2011 İskoçya İskoçya 2-1 HT 2-1 Danimarka Danimarka HAZ
28.04.2004 Danimarka Danimarka 1-0 HT 0-0 İskoçya İskoçya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya
4-2
AWAY Danimarka
1.76 xG 2.20
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
188 Passes 536
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İskoçya vs Danimarka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskoçya got the better of Danimarka 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Danimarka at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İskoçya had 30% of the ball to Danimarka's 70%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.76 to 2.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Danimarka.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İskoçya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İskoçya and 0.67 for Danimarka.

What was the final score of İskoçya vs Danimarka?

İskoçya 4-2 Danimarka in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya vs Danimarka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danimarka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İskoçya 25%, draw 28%, Danimarka 47%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka) ✗ Under 2.5
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