İspanya 2-2 Türkiye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 18 Nov 2025

İspanya
2-2 HT 1-1
Türkiye
📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

İspanya vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.61
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
25%
2.45
6+ Goals
13%
4.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.34
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.45
X/1
23%
4.0
X/2
2%
26.0
X/X
5%
10.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.35
2/2
5%
21.7
2/X
4%
29.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
77%
-0.2pp
14%
Draw
14%
-0.6pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İspanya v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.21/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/4.40
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -41%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
48.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
27.1 Crosses 8.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 4.0

İspanya vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Türkiye
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.76 xG 0.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
468 Passes 445
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
40 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 16
The Meetings
07.09.2025 Türkiye Türkiye 0-6 HT 0-3 İspanya İspanya DKE
01.04.2009 Türkiye Türkiye 1-2 HT 1-0 İspanya İspanya DKE
28.03.2009 İspanya İspanya 1-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye DKE

İspanya 2-2 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
2-2
AWAY Türkiye
2.58 xG 0.83
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
705 Passes 230
92% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH İspanya vs Türkiye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya and Türkiye shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. İspanya carried 77% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İspanya had 73% of the ball to Türkiye's 27%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.58 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for İspanya and 0.33 for Türkiye.

What was the final score of İspanya vs Türkiye?

İspanya 2-2 Türkiye in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya vs Türkiye?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split İspanya 77%, draw 14%, Türkiye 9%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (İspanya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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