Irak 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 18 Nov 2025

Irak
2-1 HT 0-0
Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
📅18/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Irak vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
49%
1.95
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
13%
6.22
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.95 — our 49% vs market 42.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-4.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Irak v Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.39/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.85
-94% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
17.8 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Irak vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
256 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.11.2025 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-1 HT 1-1 Irak Irak DKE
24.03.2022 Irak Irak 1-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
12.10.2021 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-2 HT 1-0 Irak Irak DKE
29.11.2019 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-2 HT 0-2 Irak Irak AKK
05.09.2017 Irak Irak 1-0 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
15.11.2016 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-0 HT 1-0 Irak Irak DKE

Irak 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
2-1
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.45 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
283 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Irak vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak nicked a narrow win over Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Irak had 50% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 50%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.45 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Irak had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Irak and 0.83 for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

What was the final score of Irak vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Irak 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Irak 43%, draw 34%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irak) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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