Bulgaristan vs Gürcistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bulgaristan v Gürcistan — Team-Based Signals
Bulgaristan vs Gürcistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bulgaristan
AVUL
2-5
HT 0-2
Gürcistan
AVUL
4-1
HT 3-0
Gürcistan
HAZ
6-2
HT 6-1
Gürcistan
DKE
0-0
HT 0-0
Bulgaristan
DKE
Bulgaristan 2-1 Gürcistan — Actual Match Statistics
Bulgaristan squeezed past Gürcistan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Gürcistan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (66%) came in.
On the day, Bulgaristan had 23% of the ball to Gürcistan's 77%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.71 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gürcistan.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bulgaristan and 1.83 for Gürcistan.
What was the final score of Bulgaristan vs Gürcistan?
Bulgaristan 2-1 Gürcistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bulgaristan vs Gürcistan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gürcistan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan 32%, draw 26%, Gürcistan 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gürcistan) went the other way.