İsveç 1-1 Slovenya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 18 Nov 2025

İsveç
1-1 HT 0-0
Slovenya
📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

İsveç vs Slovenya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.18
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
12%
10.25
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1
15%
25.5
2/2
9%
8.53
2/X
5%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İsveç v Slovenya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya EU Bookmakers 22%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.71/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.84
+35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +106%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
14.5 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

İsveç vs Slovenya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Slovenya
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.43 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
423 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.09.2025 Slovenya Slovenya 2-2 HT 0-1 İsveç İsveç DKE
27.09.2022 İsveç İsveç 1-1 HT 1-1 Slovenya Slovenya AVUL
02.06.2022 Slovenya Slovenya 0-2 HT 0-1 İsveç İsveç AVUL
30.05.2016 İsveç İsveç 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovenya Slovenya HAZ
26.05.2008 İsveç İsveç 1-0 HT 1-0 Slovenya Slovenya HAZ

İsveç 1-1 Slovenya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç
1-1
AWAY Slovenya
0.64 xG 2.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
557 Passes 330
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İsveç vs Slovenya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç and Slovenya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was İsveç at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, İsveç had 61% of the ball to Slovenya's 39%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.64 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for İsveç and 0.60 for Slovenya.

What was the final score of İsveç vs Slovenya?

İsveç 1-1 Slovenya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç vs Slovenya?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split İsveç 54%, draw 20%, Slovenya 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (İsveç), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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