İsveç vs Slovenya Prediction — Model Probabilities
İsveç v Slovenya — Team-Based Signals
İsveç vs Slovenya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
İsveç 1-1 Slovenya — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç and Slovenya traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İsveç at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in İsveç's favour, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.64 to 2.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for İsveç against 0.60 for Slovenya.
İsveç vs Slovenya Result & Final Score
İsveç 1 - 1 Slovenya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
İsveç vs Slovenya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split İsveç 58%, draw 23%, Slovenya 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (İsveç) went the other way.